March 1, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 075 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -47 |
Martin Kampmann overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Alves.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 104 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:12 | 4:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 309 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | +90 | -60 |
Martin Kampmann earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:12, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Thiago Alves was submitted.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 118 | 118 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 57 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 180 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Thiago Alves controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (90 vs 57 total strikes), significant strike advantage (62 vs 47), superior accuracy (52.5% vs 39.8%). However, since Thiago Alves lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Martin Kampmann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:29 | 2:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 337 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Martin Kampmann controlled Thiago Alves on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:29 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 104 | 118 |
| Activity ELO | 1 272 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -29 |
Martin Kampmann demonstrated solid activity levels with 104 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Martin Kampmann capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Alves's 118-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 141 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -28 |
Martin Kampmann extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Alves is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.