June 5, 2003
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marvin Eastman | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Vitor Belfort's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vitor Belfort for the expected result. Had Marvin Eastman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marvin Eastman | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marvin Eastman | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:07 | 1:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 986 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +33 |
Vitor Belfort earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Marvin Eastman | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 939 | 1 289 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Vitor Belfort controlled the striking exchanges with 9 vs 1 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Vitor Belfort capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marvin Eastman | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 964 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Vitor Belfort landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Marvin Eastman | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 349 |
| Activity ELO | 993 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Vitor Belfort demonstrated standard activity with 349 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Vitor Belfort capitalized on this activity level, while Marvin Eastman's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marvin Eastman | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +18 |
Vitor Belfort started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marvin Eastman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marvin Eastman | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.