March 17, 2023
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 261 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Marvin Vettori's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marvin Vettori for the expected result. Had Roman Dolidze pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 128 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 415 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Marvin Vettori earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 106 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 218 | 192 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 359 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Marvin Vettori controlled the striking exchanges with 106 vs 71 total strikes, 106 vs 71 significant strikes, 48.6% vs 37.0% accuracy. Marvin Vettori capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 378 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 290 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -25 |
Marvin Vettori demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marvin Vettori capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Dolidze's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 191 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -19 |
Marvin Vettori started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roman Dolidze is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 122 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

