Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze

March 17, 2023

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1268
(+27)
Marvin Vettori
Winner: Marvin Vettori
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marvin Vettori+27
Roman Dolidze-26
1205
(-26)
Roman Dolidze

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marvin Vettori: +29Roman Dolidze: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricMarvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Total UFC Fights148
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 2611 175
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Marvin Vettori's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marvin Vettori for the expected result. Had Roman Dolidze pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marvin Vettori: +21Roman Dolidze: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1281 080
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marvin Vettori: +47Roman Dolidze: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricMarvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4151 359
ELO Change+47-47
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What Happened

Marvin Vettori earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marvin Vettori: +35Roman Dolidze: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricMarvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Significant Strikes Landed10671
Significant Strikes Attempted218192
Total Strikes Landed10671
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3591 324
ELO Change+35-35
💡

What Happened

Marvin Vettori controlled the striking exchanges with 106 vs 71 total strikes, 106 vs 71 significant strikes, 48.6% vs 37.0% accuracy. Marvin Vettori capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marvin Vettori: +13Roman Dolidze: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricMarvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:000:14
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 3781 211
ELO Change+13-13
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marvin Vettori: +31Roman Dolidze: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricMarvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Days Since Last Fight197105
Activity ELO1 2901 295
ELO Change+31-25
💡

What Happened

Marvin Vettori demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marvin Vettori capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Dolidze's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marvin Vettori: +20Roman Dolidze: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMarvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1911 112
ELO Change+20-19
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What Happened

Marvin Vettori started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roman Dolidze is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marvin Vettori: +21Roman Dolidze: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarvin VettoriRoman Dolidze
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1221 080
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.