March 15, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 203 | 1 284 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +39 |
Roman Dolidze overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marvin Vettori.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 361 | 1 533 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Roman Dolidze earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 111 | 141 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 220 | 338 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 112 | 141 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 310 | 1 367 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Roman Dolidze controlled the striking exchanges with 141 vs 112 total strikes, 141 vs 111 significant strikes, 41.7% vs 50.5% accuracy. Roman Dolidze capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 242 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 638 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 254 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +26 |
Roman Dolidze demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roman Dolidze capitalized on this activity level, while Marvin Vettori's 638-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 146 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Roman Dolidze extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marvin Vettori is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marvin Vettori | Roman Dolidze |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

