March 13, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Maryna Moroz's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Maryna Moroz for the expected result. Had Mayra Bueno Silva pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Maryna Moroz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 139 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 247 | 146 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 176 | 92 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 012 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Maryna Moroz dominated the striking exchanges with 176 vs 92 total strikes, 139 vs 88 significant strikes. Maryna Moroz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:29 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Maryna Moroz controlled Mayra Bueno Silva on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:29 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 350 | 540 |
| Activity ELO | 1 063 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Maryna Moroz demonstrated standard activity with 350 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Maryna Moroz capitalized on this activity level, while Mayra Bueno Silva's 540-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Maryna Moroz extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mayra Bueno Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Mayra Bueno Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.