March 29, 2019
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Maryna Moroz's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Maryna Moroz for the expected result. Had Sabina Mazo pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 031 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Maryna Moroz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 190 | 144 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 970 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Sabina Mazo controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (64 vs 56), superior accuracy (44.4% vs 29.5%). However, since Sabina Mazo lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Maryna Moroz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 984 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Maryna Moroz controlled Sabina Mazo on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 7:03 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 399 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Maryna Moroz demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Maryna Moroz capitalized on this activity level, while Sabina Mazo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Maryna Moroz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sabina Mazo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Maryna Moroz | Sabina Mazo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.