Masanori Kanehara vs Michael McDonald

January 1, 2016

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1003
(-22)
Masanori Kanehara
Winner: Michael McDonald
Submission
Round 2 • 2:09

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Masanori Kanehara-22
Michael McDonald+24
1122
(+24)
Michael McDonald

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Masanori Kanehara: -29Michael McDonald: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricMasanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Total UFC Fights38
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 0291 111
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Michael McDonald's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michael McDonald for the expected result. Had Masanori Kanehara pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Masanori Kanehara: -18Michael McDonald: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricMasanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9861 073
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Masanori Kanehara: -26Michael McDonald: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricMasanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:092:09
Win Type ELO1 0181 221
ELO Change-26+41
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What Happened

Michael McDonald earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:09, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Masanori Kanehara was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Masanori Kanehara: -13Michael McDonald: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricMasanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Significant Strikes Landed155
Significant Strikes Attempted1713
Total Strikes Landed776
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0181 175
ELO Change-13+13
💡

What Happened

Masanori Kanehara controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (77 vs 6 total strikes), significant strike advantage (15 vs 5), superior accuracy (88.2% vs 38.5%). However, since Masanori Kanehara lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Michael McDonald's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Masanori Kanehara: -41Michael McDonald: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricMasanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time5:500:12
Ground Strikes Landed120
Ground ELO9991 093
ELO Change-41+41
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What Happened

Michael McDonald edged out Masanori Kanehara on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Masanori Kanehara: -14Michael McDonald: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricMasanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Days Since Last Fight172749
Activity ELO9951 140
ELO Change-14+13
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What Happened

Michael McDonald demonstrated extended layoff with 749 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Michael McDonald capitalized on this activity level, while Masanori Kanehara's 172-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Masanori Kanehara: -17Michael McDonald: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMasanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9901 093
ELO Change-17+19
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What Happened

Michael McDonald started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Masanori Kanehara is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Masanori Kanehara: -18Michael McDonald: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricMasanori KaneharaMichael McDonald
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9861 073
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.