July 14, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Masanori Kanehara | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Rani Yahya's 7-fight experience advantage (9 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rani Yahya for the expected result. Had Masanori Kanehara pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Masanori Kanehara | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Masanori Kanehara | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 044 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rani Yahya receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Masanori Kanehara | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 136 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 031 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Masanori Kanehara controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (136 vs 26 total strikes), superior accuracy (54.5% vs 35.3%). However, since Masanori Kanehara lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rani Yahya's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Masanori Kanehara | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:42 | 5:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 040 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Rani Yahya edged out Masanori Kanehara on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:19 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Masanori Kanehara | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 298 | 305 |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Rani Yahya demonstrated standard activity with 305 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rani Yahya capitalized on this activity level, while Masanori Kanehara's 298-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Masanori Kanehara | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Rani Yahya extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Masanori Kanehara is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Masanori Kanehara | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

