January 19, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mason Jones | Mike Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 969 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Mike Davis's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Davis for the expected result. Had Mason Jones pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mason Jones | Mike Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mason Jones | Mike Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 966 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Mike Davis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mason Jones | Mike Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 117 | 108 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 313 | 207 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 132 | 111 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 985 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Mason Jones controlled the striking through superior volume (132 vs 111 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (117 vs 108), superior accuracy (37.4% vs 52.2%). However, since Mason Jones lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mike Davis's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mason Jones | Mike Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 0:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 955 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Mike Davis edged out Mason Jones on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 0:50 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mason Jones | Mike Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 467 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +18 |
Mike Davis demonstrated extended layoff with 467 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mike Davis capitalized on this activity level, while Mason Jones's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mason Jones | Mike Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Mike Davis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mason Jones is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mason Jones | Mike Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

