September 22, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mateusz Gamrot | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 284 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mateusz Gamrot | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 107 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mateusz Gamrot | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:03 | 2:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 475 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -48 |
Mateusz Gamrot gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Mateusz Gamrot | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 316 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Rafael Fiziev controlled the striking through superior accuracy (56.3% vs 40.0%). However, since Rafael Fiziev lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mateusz Gamrot's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mateusz Gamrot | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:28 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 410 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Mateusz Gamrot controlled Rafael Fiziev on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:28 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mateusz Gamrot | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 244 | 1 179 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Mateusz Gamrot demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mateusz Gamrot capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Fiziev's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mateusz Gamrot | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 156 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Mateusz Gamrot extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Fiziev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mateusz Gamrot | Rafael Fiziev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 106 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.