November 10, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mateusz Rebecki | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 097 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -31 |
Mateusz Rebecki overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Roosevelt Roberts.
| Metric | Mateusz Rebecki | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mateusz Rebecki | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:08 | 3:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 186 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -35 |
Mateusz Rebecki earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mateusz Rebecki | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 207 | 912 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Mateusz Rebecki edged the striking exchanges with 28 vs 6 total strikes, 10 vs 2 significant strikes, 62.5% vs 28.6% accuracy. Mateusz Rebecki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mateusz Rebecki | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:14 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 228 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -101 |
Mateusz Rebecki dominated Roosevelt Roberts on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:14 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mateusz Rebecki | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 813 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -21 |
Mateusz Rebecki demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mateusz Rebecki capitalized on this activity level, while Roosevelt Roberts's 813-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mateusz Rebecki | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Mateusz Rebecki extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roosevelt Roberts is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mateusz Rebecki | Roosevelt Roberts |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.