January 2, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mats Nilsson | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mats Nilsson | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mats Nilsson | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Omari Akhmedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mats Nilsson | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 64 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 92 | 184 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 93 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 974 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Omari Akhmedov controlled the striking exchanges with 93 vs 55 total strikes, 64 vs 33 significant strikes. Omari Akhmedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mats Nilsson | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:56 | 4:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 915 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Omari Akhmedov dominated Mats Nilsson on the ground with 5 takedowns, 4:41 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mats Nilsson | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 420 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +18 |
Omari Akhmedov demonstrated extended layoff with 420 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Omari Akhmedov capitalized on this activity level, while Mats Nilsson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mats Nilsson | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Omari Akhmedov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mats Nilsson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mats Nilsson | Omari Akhmedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.