August 16, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 195 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Matt Brown's 4-fight experience advantage (16 vs 12 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had Mike Pyle pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 118 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:29 | 0:29 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 480 | 1 284 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -35 |
Matt Brown secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:29 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 475 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Matt Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 10 vs 0 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 0.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 189 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Matt Brown landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 302 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -20 |
Matt Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Pyle's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 194 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -21 |
Matt Brown continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Mike Pyle's now at 0.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 116 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

