December 7, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 134 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 079 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:31 | 2:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 340 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -53 |
Matt Brown gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 340 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +134 | -134 |
Matt Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 25 vs 9 significant strikes, 64.1% vs 31.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:01 | 3:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Matt Brown landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 170 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Matt Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 170 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Swick's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 114 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -26 |
Matt Brown extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Swick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Brown | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

