Matt Brown vs Seth Baczynski

November 18, 2011

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1015
(-33)
Matt Brown
Winner: Seth Baczynski
Submission
Round 2 • 0:42

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Matt Brown-33
Seth Baczynski+46
1073
(+46)
Seth Baczynski

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: -35Seth Baczynski: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownSeth Baczynski
Total UFC Fights103
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 0201 066
ELO Change-35+52
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What Happened

Seth Baczynski overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Brown.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: -22Seth Baczynski: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownSeth Baczynski
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9941 025
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: -57Seth Baczynski: +88

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownSeth Baczynski
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:420:42
Win Type ELO1 1021 121
ELO Change-57+88
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What Happened

Seth Baczynski earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Matt Brown was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: -26Seth Baczynski: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownSeth Baczynski
Significant Strikes Landed1917
Significant Strikes Attempted3449
Total Strikes Landed2822
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1251 097
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Matt Brown controlled the striking through superior accuracy (55.9% vs 34.7%). However, since Matt Brown lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Seth Baczynski's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: -57Seth Baczynski: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownSeth Baczynski
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted15
Ground Control Time0:562:43
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO8161 141
ELO Change-57+57
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What Happened

Seth Baczynski dominated Matt Brown on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:43 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: -26Seth Baczynski: +78

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownSeth Baczynski
Days Since Last Fight14764
Activity ELO1 0601 078
ELO Change-26+78
💡

What Happened

Seth Baczynski demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 64 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Seth Baczynski capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Brown's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: -23Seth Baczynski: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownSeth Baczynski
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0091 032
ELO Change-23+27
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What Happened

Seth Baczynski extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Brown is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: -22Seth Baczynski: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownSeth Baczynski
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9931 025
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.