Matt Brown vs Stephen Thompson

April 20, 2012

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1095
(+40)
Matt Brown
Winner: Matt Brown
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Matt Brown+40
Stephen Thompson-36
1009
(-36)
Stephen Thompson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: +29Stephen Thompson: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownStephen Thompson
Total UFC Fights122
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 074992
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had Stephen Thompson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: +21Stephen Thompson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownStephen Thompson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0361 000
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: +33Stephen Thompson: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownStephen Thompson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1951 057
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Matt Brown earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: +20Stephen Thompson: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownStephen Thompson
Significant Strikes Landed3667
Significant Strikes Attempted77133
Total Strikes Landed9178
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1781 092
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Stephen Thompson controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (67 vs 36). However, since Stephen Thompson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Brown's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: +128Stephen Thompson: -128

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownStephen Thompson
Takedowns Landed50
Takedowns Attempted130
Ground Control Time8:050:48
Ground Strikes Landed163
Ground ELO1 027925
ELO Change+128-128
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown dominated Stephen Thompson on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 8:05 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: +47Stephen Thompson: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownStephen Thompson
Days Since Last Fight7777
Activity ELO1 1591 005
ELO Change+47-16
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Stephen Thompson's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: +25Stephen Thompson: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownStephen Thompson
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0571 003
ELO Change+25-20
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stephen Thompson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Brown: +21Stephen Thompson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt BrownStephen Thompson
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0351 000
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.