Matt Frevola vs Ottman Azaitar

November 11, 2022

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1095
(+56)
Matt Frevola
Winner: Matt Frevola
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 2:30

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Matt Frevola+56
Ottman Azaitar-46
1066
(-46)
Ottman Azaitar

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Frevola: +42Ottman Azaitar: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Total UFC Fights83
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 0261 064
ELO Change+42-42
💡

What Happened

Matt Frevola's 5-fight experience advantage (8 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Frevola for the expected result. Had Ottman Azaitar pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Frevola: +23Ottman Azaitar: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0311 020
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Frevola: +136Ottman Azaitar: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:302:30
Win Type ELO1 2041 172
ELO Change+136-60
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What Happened

Matt Frevola earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Frevola: +109Ottman Azaitar: -109

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Significant Strikes Landed1110
Significant Strikes Attempted2722
Total Strikes Landed1211
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2741 150
ELO Change+109-109
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What Happened

Matt Frevola controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Frevola capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Frevola: +68Ottman Azaitar: -68

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:020:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 0891 055
ELO Change+68-68
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Frevola: +21Ottman Azaitar: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Days Since Last Fight294792
Activity ELO1 0621 020
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Matt Frevola demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Matt Frevola capitalized on this activity level, while Ottman Azaitar's 792-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Frevola: +28Ottman Azaitar: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0451 026
ELO Change+28-23
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What Happened

Matt Frevola extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ottman Azaitar is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Frevola: +23Ottman Azaitar: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0311 020
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.