April 20, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Grice | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Grice | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Grice | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +69 |
Terry Etim earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Matt Grice | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Matt Grice controlled the striking through superior volume (45 vs 16 total strikes), significant strike advantage (26 vs 5), superior accuracy (68.4% vs 55.6%). However, since Matt Grice lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Terry Etim's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Grice | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:47 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 26 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Terry Etim edged out Matt Grice on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:29 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Matt Grice | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Terry Etim demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Terry Etim capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Grice's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Grice | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Terry Etim started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Grice is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Grice | Terry Etim |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

