Matt Grice vs Terry Etim

April 20, 2007

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

974
(-26)
Matt Grice
Winner: Terry Etim
Submission
Round 1 • 4:48

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Matt Grice-26
Terry Etim+30
1030
(+30)
Terry Etim

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Grice: -21Terry Etim: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt GriceTerry Etim
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Grice: -21Terry Etim: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt GriceTerry Etim
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Grice: -42Terry Etim: +69

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt GriceTerry Etim
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:484:48
Win Type ELO9581 069
ELO Change-42+69
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Grice: -21Terry Etim: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt GriceTerry Etim
Significant Strikes Landed265
Significant Strikes Attempted389
Total Strikes Landed4516
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Matt Grice controlled the striking through superior volume (45 vs 16 total strikes), significant strike advantage (26 vs 5), superior accuracy (68.4% vs 55.6%). However, since Matt Grice lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Terry Etim's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Grice: -42Terry Etim: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt GriceTerry Etim
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time3:470:29
Ground Strikes Landed260
Ground ELO9581 042
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim edged out Matt Grice on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:29 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Grice: -21Terry Etim: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt GriceTerry Etim
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Terry Etim capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Grice's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Grice: -21Terry Etim: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt GriceTerry Etim
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Terry Etim started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Grice is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Grice: -21Terry Etim: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt GriceTerry Etim
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.