September 7, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 171 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Michael Bisping receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 162 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 88 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Matt Hamill controlled the striking through superior volume (88 vs 65 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (56 vs 47), superior accuracy (45.2% vs 29.0%). However, since Matt Hamill lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Michael Bisping's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:08 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 156 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Michael Bisping did not secure a significant ground advantage against Matt Hamill on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Michael Bisping demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Bisping capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Hamill's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +30 |
Michael Bisping extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Hamill is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Michael Bisping |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

