December 26, 2008
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Reese Andy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 095 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Matt Hamill's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Hamill for the expected result. Had Reese Andy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Reese Andy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Reese Andy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:19 | 2:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 253 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -17 |
Matt Hamill gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Reese Andy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 115 | 73 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 170 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Matt Hamill edged the striking exchanges with 63 vs 38 total strikes, 40 vs 34 significant strikes, 34.8% vs 46.6% accuracy. Matt Hamill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Reese Andy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 214 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Matt Hamill controlled Reese Andy on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:25 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Reese Andy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -15 |
Matt Hamill demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Hamill capitalized on this activity level, while Reese Andy's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Reese Andy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Matt Hamill started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Reese Andy is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Reese Andy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.