September 5, 2008
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Rich Franklin's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rich Franklin for the expected result. Had Matt Hamill pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:39 | 0:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 217 | 1 469 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Rich Franklin gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 136 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 133 | 1 434 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Rich Franklin dominated the striking exchanges with 71 vs 17 total strikes, 71 vs 13 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 22.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rich Franklin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:32 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 189 | 1 380 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Rich Franklin landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 157 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 095 | 1 353 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +18 |
Rich Franklin demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rich Franklin capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Hamill's 157-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +15 |
Rich Franklin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Hamill is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Rich Franklin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

