October 8, 2013
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 135 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +42 |
Thiago Silva overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Hamill.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 090 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 228 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Thiago Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 96 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 181 | 205 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 108 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 087 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Thiago Silva controlled the striking exchanges with 108 vs 74 total strikes, 96 vs 70 significant strikes, 46.8% vs 38.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Thiago Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:23 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 250 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Thiago Silva landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 382 | 123 |
| Activity ELO | 1 198 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +51 |
Thiago Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Thiago Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Hamill's 382-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 125 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Thiago Silva extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Hamill is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Hamill | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 078 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.