December 5, 2014
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Hobar | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Hobar | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Hobar | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 962 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Sergio Pettis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Matt Hobar | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 78 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 200 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 907 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Sergio Pettis controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 54 total strikes, 78 vs 36 significant strikes, 39.0% vs 29.0% accuracy. Sergio Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Hobar | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:20 | 1:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 989 | 921 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Sergio Pettis did not secure a significant ground advantage against Matt Hobar on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:35 of control time, 13 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Matt Hobar | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Sergio Pettis demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sergio Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Hobar's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hobar | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Sergio Pettis extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Hobar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Hobar | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.