June 18, 2004
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Hughes | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 160 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Matt Hughes's 9-fight experience advantage (11 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Hughes for the expected result. Had Renato Verissimo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Hughes | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 259 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Hughes | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 289 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Matt Hughes earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Matt Hughes | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 278 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Renato Verissimo controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (87 vs 17 total strikes). However, since Renato Verissimo lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Hughes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Hughes | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 13:29 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 309 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Matt Hughes controlled Renato Verissimo on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 13:29 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hughes | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 199 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -12 |
Matt Hughes demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Hughes capitalized on this activity level, while Renato Verissimo's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Hughes | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 167 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -14 |
Matt Hughes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renato Verissimo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Hughes | Renato Verissimo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 118 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.