November 1, 2001
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 103 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 100 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Matt Lindland earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 71 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 215 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 182 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Matt Lindland dominated the striking exchanges with 215 vs 80 total strikes, 71 vs 32 significant strikes, 75.5% vs 59.3% accuracy. Matt Lindland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:23 | 2:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 33 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 186 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Matt Lindland controlled Phil Baroni on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 10:23 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 082 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Matt Lindland demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Lindland capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Baroni's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Matt Lindland extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Baroni is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Phil Baroni |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.