April 15, 2005
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 027 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Matt Lindland's 9-fight experience advantage (11 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Lindland for the expected result. Had Travis Lutter pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:13 | 3:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 237 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -29 |
Matt Lindland earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:13, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Travis Lutter was submitted.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 26 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 135 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Matt Lindland controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 26 total strikes, 11 vs 0 significant strikes, 44.0% vs 0.0% accuracy. Matt Lindland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:28 | 1:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 243 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Matt Lindland dominated Travis Lutter on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 5:28 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 238 | 176 |
| Activity ELO | 1 161 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Matt Lindland demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Lindland capitalized on this activity level, while Travis Lutter's 176-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 105 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Matt Lindland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Travis Lutter is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Lindland | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.