February 28, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Mitrione | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 102 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Matt Mitrione's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Mitrione for the expected result. Had Shawn Jordan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Mitrione | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Mitrione | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 319 | 1 199 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -45 |
Matt Mitrione earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Matt Mitrione | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 201 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Matt Mitrione controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 15 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Mitrione capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Mitrione | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 055 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Matt Mitrione did not secure a significant ground advantage against Shawn Jordan on the ground with 0:21 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Matt Mitrione | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 158 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -17 |
Matt Mitrione demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Mitrione capitalized on this activity level, while Shawn Jordan's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Mitrione | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 094 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Matt Mitrione started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shawn Jordan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Mitrione | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.