Matt Schnell vs Naoki Inoue

June 22, 2018

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

998
(+27)
Matt Schnell
Winner: Matt Schnell
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Matt Schnell+27
Naoki Inoue-26
1007
(-26)
Naoki Inoue

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Schnell: +34Naoki Inoue: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 022987
ELO Change+34-34
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What Happened

Matt Schnell's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Schnell for the expected result. Had Naoki Inoue pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Schnell: +23Naoki Inoue: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 007998
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Schnell: +12Naoki Inoue: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0031 030
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Matt Schnell receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Schnell: +39Naoki Inoue: -39

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Significant Strikes Landed7148
Significant Strikes Attempted183196
Total Strikes Landed7964
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9571 006
ELO Change+39-39
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What Happened

Matt Schnell controlled the striking exchanges with 71 vs 48 significant strikes, 38.8% vs 24.5% accuracy. Matt Schnell capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Schnell: +30Naoki Inoue: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:000:37
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9411 038
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Matt Schnell did not secure a significant ground advantage against Naoki Inoue on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Schnell: +27Naoki Inoue: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Days Since Last Fight259371
Activity ELO1 033999
ELO Change+27-22
💡

What Happened

Matt Schnell demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Schnell capitalized on this activity level, while Naoki Inoue's 371-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Schnell: +28Naoki Inoue: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0171 000
ELO Change+28-23
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What Happened

Matt Schnell extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Naoki Inoue is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Schnell: +23Naoki Inoue: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt SchnellNaoki Inoue
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 007998
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.