December 2, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Schnell | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 976 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Rob Font's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rob Font for the expected result. Had Matt Schnell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Schnell | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Schnell | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:47 | 3:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +53 |
Rob Font earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Matt Schnell | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 33 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 946 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Rob Font controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 14 significant strikes, 78.8% vs 42.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rob Font capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Schnell | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 942 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Rob Font landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Schnell | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +24 |
Rob Font demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rob Font capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Schnell's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Schnell | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Rob Font started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Schnell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Schnell | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.