September 27, 2001
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Serra | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Serra | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Serra | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 986 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Matt Serra earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Matt Serra | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 14 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 921 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Yves Edwards controlled the striking through superior accuracy (64.3% vs 52.9%). However, since Yves Edwards lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Serra's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Serra | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:29 | 2:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 061 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Matt Serra controlled Yves Edwards on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 8:29 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Serra | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -22 |
Matt Serra demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Serra capitalized on this activity level, while Yves Edwards's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Serra | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Matt Serra started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yves Edwards is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Serra | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.