January 17, 2015
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Van Buren | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 944 | 979 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Van Buren | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 957 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Van Buren | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 917 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +82 |
Sean O'Connell gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Van Buren | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 100 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 212 | 141 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 115 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 805 | 997 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Matt Van Buren controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (100 vs 66). However, since Matt Van Buren lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sean O'Connell's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Van Buren | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 3:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 876 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Sean O'Connell landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Van Buren | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 205 |
| Activity ELO | 957 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Sean O'Connell demonstrated standard activity with 205 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean O'Connell capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Van Buren's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Van Buren | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 957 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Sean O'Connell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Van Buren is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Van Buren | Sean O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 957 | 980 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.