September 21, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Matt Wiman's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Wiman for the expected result. Had Michihiro Omigawa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 104 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Matt Wiman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 108 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 109 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 075 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Matt Wiman controlled the striking exchanges with 109 vs 78 total strikes, 59 vs 33 significant strikes. Matt Wiman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:26 | 1:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 43 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 130 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Matt Wiman dominated Michihiro Omigawa on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 11:26 of control time, 43 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 054 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -21 |
Matt Wiman demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Wiman capitalized on this activity level, while Michihiro Omigawa's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 029 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Matt Wiman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michihiro Omigawa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Michihiro Omigawa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

