Matt Wiman vs Michihiro Omigawa

September 21, 2007

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1059
(+37)
Matt Wiman
Winner: Matt Wiman
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Matt Wiman+37
Michihiro Omigawa-33
967
(-33)
Michihiro Omigawa

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +31Michihiro Omigawa: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 032969
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Matt Wiman's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Wiman for the expected result. Had Michihiro Omigawa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +21Michihiro Omigawa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 023979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +34Michihiro Omigawa: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 104966
ELO Change+34-34
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What Happened

Matt Wiman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +29Michihiro Omigawa: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Significant Strikes Landed5933
Significant Strikes Attempted10864
Total Strikes Landed10978
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 075971
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Matt Wiman controlled the striking exchanges with 109 vs 78 total strikes, 59 vs 33 significant strikes. Matt Wiman capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +83Michihiro Omigawa: -83

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Takedowns Landed41
Takedowns Attempted52
Ground Control Time11:261:51
Ground Strikes Landed435
Ground ELO1 130917
ELO Change+83-83
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What Happened

Matt Wiman dominated Michihiro Omigawa on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 11:26 of control time, 43 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +52Michihiro Omigawa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Days Since Last Fight91N/A
Activity ELO1 054979
ELO Change+52-21
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What Happened

Matt Wiman demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Wiman capitalized on this activity level, while Michihiro Omigawa's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +25Michihiro Omigawa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 029979
ELO Change+25-21
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What Happened

Matt Wiman extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michihiro Omigawa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +21Michihiro Omigawa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 023979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.