April 17, 2009
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 027 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 014 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 099 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Sam Stout earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 186 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 87 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Sam Stout controlled the striking exchanges with 87 vs 61 total strikes, 62 vs 46 significant strikes, 33.3% vs 44.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sam Stout capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:27 | 2:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 097 | 921 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Sam Stout landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 129 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +35 |
Sam Stout demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sam Stout capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Wiman's 129-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 997 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +29 |
Sam Stout started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Wiman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 014 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.