Matt Wiman vs Shane Nelson

December 11, 2009

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1080
(+31)
Matt Wiman
Winner: Matt Wiman
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Matt Wiman+31
Shane Nelson-31
992
(-31)
Shane Nelson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +31Shane Nelson: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanShane Nelson
Total UFC Fights84
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 058985
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Wiman for the expected result. Had Shane Nelson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +21Shane Nelson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanShane Nelson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 035994
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +37Shane Nelson: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanShane Nelson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1361 017
ELO Change+37-37
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What Happened

Matt Wiman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +43Shane Nelson: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanShane Nelson
Significant Strikes Landed5520
Significant Strikes Attempted13085
Total Strikes Landed8245
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 072989
ELO Change+43-43
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 45 total strikes, 55 vs 20 significant strikes, 42.3% vs 23.5% accuracy. Matt Wiman capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +55Shane Nelson: -55

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanShane Nelson
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted57
Ground Control Time5:381:18
Ground Strikes Landed171
Ground ELO1 152925
ELO Change+55-55
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman controlled Shane Nelson on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 5:38 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +24Shane Nelson: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanShane Nelson
Days Since Last Fight239127
Activity ELO1 1011 031
ELO Change+24-19
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matt Wiman capitalized on this activity level, while Shane Nelson's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +22Shane Nelson: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanShane Nelson
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0541 000
ELO Change+22-20
💡

What Happened

Matt Wiman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shane Nelson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Matt Wiman: +21Shane Nelson: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMatt WimanShane Nelson
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 035994
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.