May 26, 2006
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Spencer Fisher's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Spencer Fisher for the expected result. Had Matt Wiman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:43 | 1:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 966 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +69 |
Spencer Fisher gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 905 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Spencer Fisher controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 10 significant strikes, 69.2% vs 52.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:24 | 1:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 981 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Spencer Fisher landed 1 knockdown followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 982 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +55 |
Spencer Fisher demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Wiman's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Spencer Fisher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Wiman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Spencer Fisher |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.