January 25, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Wiman | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 115 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +41 |
TJ Grant overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Wiman.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:51 | 4:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 256 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +112 |
TJ Grant earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:51, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 041 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -122 | +122 |
TJ Grant controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 18 total strikes, 54 vs 18 significant strikes, 58.1% vs 31.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. TJ Grant capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 216 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
TJ Grant landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 1 168 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +48 |
TJ Grant demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, TJ Grant capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Wiman's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 102 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +33 |
TJ Grant extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Wiman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

