June 6, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 091 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:57 | 1:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 224 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -33 |
Matt Wiman gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 199 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Matt Wiman controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 13 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 37.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Wiman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 4:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 238 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Matt Wiman landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 136 | 136 |
| Activity ELO | 1 132 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Matt Wiman demonstrated solid activity levels with 136 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Wiman capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Tavares's 136-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -20 |
Matt Wiman extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Tavares is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matt Wiman | Thiago Tavares |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.