December 9, 2016
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matthew Lopez | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 028 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -40 |
Matthew Lopez overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mitch Gagnon.
| Metric | Matthew Lopez | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matthew Lopez | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 040 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Matthew Lopez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Matthew Lopez | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 996 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Mitch Gagnon controlled the striking through 1 knockdown. However, since Mitch Gagnon lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matthew Lopez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Matthew Lopez | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:17 | 2:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 014 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Matthew Lopez controlled Mitch Gagnon on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 9:17 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Lopez | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 151 | 721 |
| Activity ELO | 1 033 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -28 |
Matthew Lopez demonstrated solid activity levels with 151 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matthew Lopez capitalized on this activity level, while Mitch Gagnon's 721-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Lopez | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -26 |
Matthew Lopez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mitch Gagnon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matthew Lopez | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.