November 13, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 048 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +42 |
Nick Osipczak overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matthew Riddle.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:53 | 3:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 068 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +95 |
Nick Osipczak gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Nick Osipczak controlled the striking exchanges with 116 vs 68 total strikes, 46 vs 28 significant strikes. Nick Osipczak capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:45 | 4:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 29 |
| Ground ELO | 1 204 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Nick Osipczak did not secure a significant ground advantage against Matthew Riddle on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:06 of control time, 29 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +48 |
Nick Osipczak demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nick Osipczak capitalized on this activity level, while Matthew Riddle's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Nick Osipczak extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matthew Riddle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.