February 6, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Steve Bruno |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Steve Bruno |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Steve Bruno |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Matthew Riddle earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Steve Bruno |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 276 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 067 | 815 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Matthew Riddle dominated the striking exchanges with 276 vs 40 total strikes, 48 vs 22 significant strikes. Matthew Riddle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Steve Bruno |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:11 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 179 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Matthew Riddle dominated Steve Bruno on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 11:11 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Steve Bruno |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 59 |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Matthew Riddle demonstrated standard activity with 232 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Matthew Riddle capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Bruno's 59-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Steve Bruno |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Matthew Riddle extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Bruno is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matthew Riddle | Steve Bruno |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.