January 12, 2024
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +55 |
Preston Parsons overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matthew Semelsberger.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 140 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Preston Parsons earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 69 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 116 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Preston Parsons dominated the striking exchanges with 116 vs 33 total strikes, 47 vs 28 significant strikes, 54.0% vs 40.6% accuracy. Preston Parsons capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:08 | 6:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 976 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Preston Parsons dominated Matthew Semelsberger on the ground with 7 vs 1 takedowns, 6:26 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Preston Parsons demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Preston Parsons capitalized on this activity level, while Matthew Semelsberger's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Preston Parsons started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matthew Semelsberger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Preston Parsons |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.