July 28, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 071 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +46 |
Uros Medic overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matthew Semelsberger.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:36 | 2:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 203 | 1 253 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +111 |
Uros Medic gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 128 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 162 | 1 294 |
| ELO Change | -121 | +121 |
Uros Medic controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 53 total strikes, 69 vs 52 significant strikes, 53.9% vs 43.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Uros Medic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:13 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 082 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Uros Medic landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 434 |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +24 |
Uros Medic demonstrated extended layoff with 434 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Uros Medic capitalized on this activity level, while Matthew Semelsberger's 98-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 036 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Uros Medic extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matthew Semelsberger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Matthew Semelsberger | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.