October 25, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 040 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 107 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +113 |
Sergei Pavlovich earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:11, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 042 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | -133 | +133 |
Sergei Pavlovich controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 8 significant strikes, 54.1% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -70 | +70 |
Sergei Pavlovich landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +32 |
Sergei Pavlovich demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sergei Pavlovich capitalized on this activity level, while Maurice Greene's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 044 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +29 |
Sergei Pavlovich extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maurice Greene is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Maurice Greene | Sergei Pavlovich |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 033 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.