May 6, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 110 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Ovince Saint Preux's 2-fight experience advantage (25 vs 23 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ovince Saint Preux for the expected result. Had Mauricio Rua pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 071 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 319 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ovince Saint Preux receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 094 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Ovince Saint Preux edged the striking exchanges with 62 vs 54 significant strikes. Ovince Saint Preux capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 104 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 532 | 315 |
| Activity ELO | 1 183 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Ovince Saint Preux demonstrated standard activity with 315 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Ovince Saint Preux capitalized on this activity level, while Mauricio Rua's 532-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Ovince Saint Preux started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mauricio Rua is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mauricio Rua | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.