June 30, 2023
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Max Griffin | Michael Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 105 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +59 |
Michael Morales overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Max Griffin.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Michael Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Michael Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 242 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Michael Morales earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Michael Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 72 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 164 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 267 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Michael Morales controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 39 total strikes, 72 vs 36 significant strikes, 43.9% vs 35.3% accuracy. Michael Morales capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Michael Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:10 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 173 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Michael Morales did not secure a significant ground advantage against Max Griffin on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:27 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Michael Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 194 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Michael Morales demonstrated standard activity with 336 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Michael Morales capitalized on this activity level, while Max Griffin's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Michael Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Michael Morales extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Max Griffin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Michael Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.