Max Griffin vs Neil Magny

March 25, 2022

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1137
(-12)
Max Griffin
Winner: Neil Magny
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Max Griffin-12
Neil Magny+12
1341
(+12)
Neil Magny

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Max Griffin: -17Neil Magny: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMax GriffinNeil Magny
Total UFC Fights1326
Experience Gap-1313
Experience ELO1 0881 295
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

Neil Magny's 13-fight experience advantage (26 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Max Griffin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Max Griffin: -12Neil Magny: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricMax GriffinNeil Magny
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0221 200
ELO Change-12+12
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Max Griffin: -5Neil Magny: +5

Performance Statistics

MetricMax GriffinNeil Magny
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2881 478
ELO Change-5+5
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Neil Magny receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Max Griffin: -19Neil Magny: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMax GriffinNeil Magny
Significant Strikes Landed6754
Significant Strikes Attempted123144
Total Strikes Landed75104
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2771 403
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

Max Griffin controlled the striking through superior volume (75 vs 104 total strikes), significant strike advantage (67 vs 54), superior accuracy (54.5% vs 37.5%), 1 knockdown. However, since Max Griffin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Neil Magny's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Max Griffin: -16Neil Magny: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricMax GriffinNeil Magny
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted29
Ground Control Time0:394:33
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 1521 402
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

Neil Magny edged out Max Griffin on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Max Griffin: -7Neil Magny: +7

Performance Statistics

MetricMax GriffinNeil Magny
Days Since Last Fight260323
Activity ELO1 1941 490
ELO Change-7+7
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What Happened

Neil Magny demonstrated standard activity with 323 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Max Griffin's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Max Griffin: -10Neil Magny: +12

Performance Statistics

MetricMax GriffinNeil Magny
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0541 273
ELO Change-10+12
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What Happened

Neil Magny extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Max Griffin is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Max Griffin: -13Neil Magny: +13

Performance Statistics

MetricMax GriffinNeil Magny
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0201 190
ELO Change-13+13
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.