March 25, 2022
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Max Griffin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 26 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 088 | 1 295 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Neil Magny's 13-fight experience advantage (26 vs 13 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Max Griffin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 288 | 1 478 |
| ELO Change | -5 | +5 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Neil Magny receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 123 | 144 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 104 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 277 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Max Griffin controlled the striking through superior volume (75 vs 104 total strikes), significant strike advantage (67 vs 54), superior accuracy (54.5% vs 37.5%), 1 knockdown. However, since Max Griffin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Neil Magny's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 4:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 152 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Neil Magny edged out Max Griffin on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:33 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 260 | 323 |
| Activity ELO | 1 194 | 1 490 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
Neil Magny demonstrated standard activity with 323 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Max Griffin's 260-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +12 |
Neil Magny extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Max Griffin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

