March 19, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Max Griffin | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Max Griffin's 5-fight experience advantage (11 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Griffin for the expected result. Had Song Kenan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 010 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:20 | 2:20 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 243 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | +117 | -52 |
Max Griffin earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:20, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 219 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Max Griffin controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Max Griffin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 112 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 1 136 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Max Griffin demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Max Griffin capitalized on this activity level, while Song Kenan's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -25 |
Max Griffin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Song Kenan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Max Griffin | Song Kenan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 010 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

