January 3, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Max Holloway | Will Chope |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 044 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Max Holloway's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Holloway for the expected result. Had Will Chope pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Will Chope |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Will Chope |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:27 | 2:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 140 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -34 |
Max Holloway gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Will Chope |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 74 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 139 | 121 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 34 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 198 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +101 | -101 |
Max Holloway dominated the striking exchanges with 79 vs 34 total strikes, 74 vs 33 significant strikes, 53.2% vs 27.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Max Holloway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Will Chope |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 974 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Max Holloway landed 2 knockdowns followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Will Chope |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 108 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -17 |
Max Holloway demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Max Holloway capitalized on this activity level, while Will Chope's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Will Chope |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Max Holloway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Will Chope is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Will Chope |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

