November 12, 2021
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 25 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 14 | -14 |
| Experience ELO | 1 388 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Max Holloway's 14-fight experience advantage (25 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Holloway for the expected result. Had Yair Rodriguez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 357 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 631 | 1 419 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Max Holloway earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 230 | 159 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 404 | 352 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 251 | 186 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 598 | 1 423 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Max Holloway dominated the striking exchanges with 251 vs 186 total strikes, 230 vs 159 significant strikes, 56.9% vs 45.2% accuracy. Max Holloway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:49 | 1:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 496 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Max Holloway controlled Yair Rodriguez on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 6:49 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 758 |
| Activity ELO | 1 465 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Max Holloway demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Max Holloway capitalized on this activity level, while Yair Rodriguez's 758-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 508 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -6 |
Max Holloway extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yair Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Max Holloway | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 220 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.