June 2, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Maxim Grishin | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 013 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Maxim Grishin | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Maxim Grishin | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Philipe Lins earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Maxim Grishin | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 41 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 103 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Maxim Grishin controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (103 vs 50 total strikes). However, since Maxim Grishin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Philipe Lins's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Maxim Grishin | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 8:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 994 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Philipe Lins edged out Maxim Grishin on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8:24 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Maxim Grishin | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 476 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +55 |
Philipe Lins demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Philipe Lins capitalized on this activity level, while Maxim Grishin's 476-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Maxim Grishin | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 991 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Philipe Lins extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maxim Grishin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Maxim Grishin | Philipe Lins |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.